MIFTAH
Tuesday, 2 July. 2024
 
Your Key to Palestine
The Palestinian Initiatives for The Promotoion of Global Dialogue and Democracy
 
 
 

Late Sunday night, Palestinian President Mahmoud Abbas and Prime Minister Ismael Haniyyeh reached an agreement to form a national unity government that could potentially restore international aid to the Palestinians and lead to a renewed dialogue with Israel.

The agreement to establish a new government comes after months of on and off negotiations between President Abbas, a veteran FATEH leader, the ruling faction of the PLO, and Ismael Haniyyeh, who is a leader from HAMAS.

Abbas and Haniyyeh announced their decision on Monday. In an interview on Palestinian television, Abbas announced that "…the continuous efforts to form a national unity government have ended successfully with the announcement of a political program for this government," and that "…efforts in the next few days will continue to complete the formation of the national unity government."

Haniyyeh confirmed the results of the negotiations in an announcement of his own.

"I bring good news to the Palestinian people, and I feel proud and content that at this important moment we establish a national coalition government," Haniyyeh said.

Islamic Jihad spokesman Khader Habib announced that the group would not participate in a unity government, but that if a cease-fire is declared, "…we will not sing out of tune."

Following HAMAS' decisive victory in the January 2006 Palestinian elections, hundreds of millions of dollars in international aid was cut off from the newly formed government, and Israel began withholding the US$ 60 million in monthly tax imports which it collects on behalf of the Palestinian Authority. Popular support for the HAMAS-elected government remained widespread during the first few months following the elections, but recent polls have shown that Palestinians are becoming more frustrated with the inability of their government to deliver. Economic strangulation, as well as continued Israeli aggression against HAMAS political leaders (including extra-judicial assassinations and arrests of key ministers and legislators), has rendered the present government unable to fulfill its promises.

"When we came to power, we wanted to achieve our Islamic program — to reduce people's suffering, to eliminate corruption, anarchy and lack of security, and of course, to find a resolution for the Palestinian issue," said Mushir al-Masri, a HAMAS lawmaker. "Because of the embargo we faced, and its result on the Palestinian street, we couldn't achieve all of that."

In the beginning of September, tens of thousands of civil servants, teachers, and other government workers launched a popular strike against the acting government, which has been unable to pay salaries since March 2006. President Abbas gave permission for the strike, likely in an effort to encourage his HAMAS counterparts of the need for a unity government.

The Israeli offensive in the Gaza Strip, which began following the kidnapping of an Israeli soldier by HAMAS-linked activists on June 25, has turned the region into a war zone that is now embroiled in a sever humanitarian crisis. More than 260 Palestinians have been killed since the assault began, the closing of border crossings and the lack of electricity, water, and adequate medical supplies has led to increased pressure on political leaders, from within Palestine and from around the world, to form a new government based on national unity.

A poll conducted on Monday by the Opinion Polls and Survey Studies Center at Al-Najah University in Nablus shows that an overwhelming majority -84.9%- of Palestinians support the establishment of a coalition government.

According to the agreement reached Sunday night, Abbas is expected to use his presidential power to dissolve the government within the next 48 hours, after which he is expected to reappoint Ismail Haniyyeh as the new prime minister, and the new government will be formed. A FATEH member from the West Bank will be appointed as Deputy Prime Minister, and the Ministers will be chosen from HAMAS, FATEH, as well as the other factions and political groups. HAMAS is expected to lose a few key ministry positions, including Finance and Foreign Affairs, but will maintain control of Education, Health, and Interior Ministries.

The new coalition government will be based upon the principles of the Prisoner's Document, which was first issued in May 2006 by Palestinian prisoners from various factions, including HAMAS and FATEH. The document implicitly recognizes Israel by calling for a two-state solution in which an independent Palestinian state would be declared on the territory occupied by Israel in the June 1967 war.

According to Palestinian authorities, Abbas and Haniyyeh made a breakthrough in the negotiations when Haniyyeh agreed to adopt the Arab Peace Initiative from 2002, which was based upon a Saudi Arabian proposal calling on Arab states to recognize Israel once it withdraws to the 1967 boundaries, and solves the refugee problem. Acceptance of the Arab Peace Initiative indicates Haniyyeh's willingness to indirectly recognize Israel for the sake of forming a coalition government. HAMAS spokesman Sami Abu Zuhri, however, said in an announcement on Monday from Gaza city that HAMAS as an organization would never recognize Israel, even if a unity Government does.

Following the election of HAMAS in 2006, the international community—in the form of the Middle East Quartet, which is comprised of the United States, Russia, the European Union, and the United Nations—established a set of three conditions for working with the HAMAS-led government. These include HAMAS' recognition of Israel, its relinquishment of violence, and its acceptance of previous agreements signed between the PLO and Israel.

The recent negotiations between Abbas and Haniyyeh are certainly a step in the direction for meeting these conditions, but Israeli authorities have been very clear that anything short of these three conditions is unacceptable.

"If the Palestinian government does not clearly accept the three conditions, we will not hold negotiations with it, nor will we renew the transfer of tax revenues," a senior Israeli Foreign Ministry source said Monday.

If the new government does not receive international recognition, it could also hurt Abbas' ability (and therefore, that of the PLO) to negotiate with Israel. According to Israeli Foreign Minister Tzipi Livni at a press conference in Jerusalem, "…Abu Mazen and FATEH cannot join a government that does not fulfill the conditions," and "…if [Abbas] does, I feel we will have a problem."

In a meeting with Spanish Foreign Minister Miguel Moratinos, Israeli Deputy Prime Minister Shimon Peres appeared pessimistic about the recent developments, saying that "…even if [the unity government does] occur, it is doubtful that such a government would last long."

Even senior FATEH members in the West Bank expressed some regrets regarding the recent agreement.

"[HAMAS] will enjoy the best of both worlds, while we in FATEH will become partners in failure," said one FATEH member. "Now, if salaries are not paid and the security chaos continues, they will also blame FATEH. In essence, Abu Mazen [Abbas] has saved them from collapse."

Despite some people's low expectations for the new government, there is some fear in Israeli government circles that the creation of a new unity government could gain international recognition without meeting the previously established set of conditions, which would undoubtedly put Israel in a difficult position.

Israeli Foreign Minister Tzipi Livini will travel to Washington DC today to hold talks with senior officials from the Bush administration, in what is widely seen as an attempt to ensure that no recognition is given if the Quartet's terms are not met.

 
 
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