HIGHLIGHTS
Analysis of Results 1. Evaluation of Government: Fayyad's Government is More Positively Viewed in Gaza than the Haniyeh Government 1.1 Economic Conditions
1.2 Security
1.3 Corruption
1.4 Personal and Civil Freedoms
1.5 Response to the Gaza floods About 41 percent evaluate negatively the response of the Haniyeh Government to the aftermath of the recent floods in Gaza, while 25 percent evaluate its response positively. 1.6 Appointment of a Woman Governor The President of the Palestinian Authority appointed Dr. Laila Ghannam as Governor of the Ramallah Governorate, the first of its kind in Palestinian history. About 73 percent of the respondents are supportive of this appointment, while 24 percent are in opposition. 2. Peace ProcessThe most recent trip by US Envoy George Mitchell did not bring about optimism among Palestinians. In addition, the original enthusiasm about the elected President of the United Sates had immensely declined. 2.1 Mitchell's Recent Trip and Mr. Obama
2.2 Negotiations and Coexistence
3. Presidential Elections The current poll confirms recent trends in Palestinian public opinion:
The current poll shows the following interesting results: 3.1 Fateh, Islamic and Independent candidates A hypothetical Fateh candidate receives 37 percent of the support among the pubic, followed by an Independent candidate who receives 25 percent and an Islamist candidate who receives about 18 percent of the public support. In this case, about 20 percent are undecided or will not vote. 3.2 Three-way Races Abbas, Haniyeh and Mustafa Barghouti In a three-way popularity contest between Abbas, Haniyeh and Mustafa Barghouti, Abbas receives 32 percent, Haniyeh 21 percent and Barghouti 22 percent. About one quarter will not vote or are undecided. If this scenario holds in a future election, AWRAD predicts the following results: Abbas (40 percent), Haniyeh (30 percent) and Barghouti (30 percent). Marwan Barghouti, Haniyeh and Fayyad In a three-way popularity contest between Marwan, Haniyeh and Fayyad, Marwan receives 44 percent, Haniyeh 20 percent and Fayyad 14 percent. About 22 percent will not vote or are undecided. If this scenario holds in a future election, AWRAD predicts the following results: Marwan (53 percent), Haniyeh (28 percent) and Fayyad (19 percent). 3.3 Two-way Races Abbas vs. Haniyeh In a popularity race, Abbas receives 43 percent support, and Haniyeh receives 26 percent. About 31 percent are undecided or will not vote. In a two-way race for elections, AWRAD predicts that Abbas will receive 59 percent and Haniyeh 41 percent. Mustafa vs. Abbas In a popularity race, Mustafa Barghouti and Mahmoud Abbas receive equal support (34 percent each). About 32 percent are undecided or will not vote. In a two-way race for elections, AWRAD predicts a tight race between both candidates. Abbas vs. Fayyad In a popularity race, Abbas receives 38 percent support, and Fayyad receives 17 percent. About 45 percent are undecided or will not vote. In a two-way race for elections, and depending on how the large group of undecided vote, AWRAD predicts that Abbas will receive 66 percent and Fayyad 34 percent. 3.4 Race among 11 Candidates On the assumption that Abbas and Marwan do not run for a presidential election, the poll shows the following results: Fayyad receives the highest support with 22 percent, followed by Haniyeh at 19 percent and Mustafa at 16 percent. The highest scoring Fateh candidate is Dahlan at 9 percent. Aziz Duwaik of Hamas comes in fifth place with about 5 percent, followed by Saeb Erekat at about 3 percent and Ahmad Sadat of the PFLP at about 2 percent. Naser Qudwi, Mahmoud Zahhar, Naser Eldin Shaer, and Ahmad Qurei all receive less than 2 percent. 4. Palestinian Legislative Council Elections (PLC) In a popularity contest between all Palestinian factions, the poll shows the following results:
5. Local Elections The Government of Mr. Salam Fayyad called for the conduct of local elections by July 2010. Hamas rejected such a call.
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