Results of Palestinian Public Opinion Polls
No. 7 July 15-17, 2004 Background The Egyptian Government made an initiative to the Palestinian Authority aiming at putting things in order after the proposed Israeli pullout from the settlements in the Gaza Strip. While the Palestinian Authority welcomed the Egyptian initiative, some Palestinian political factions declared their reservations on some of its articles. On the international arena, the International Court of Justice made its final verdict concerning the Separation Wall in the West Bank. The verdict calls on Israel to remove the Wall since it is not legal and to compensate the Palestinian families for the damage that the Wall caused to them. In this context, some officials at the US Administration warned Palestinians against resorting to the United Nations for dealing with the ICJ verdict. On the Palestinian internal arena, the issue of local councils elections and the mechanisms of conducting them continues to dominate a good part of the on-going debates. The issue of giving women a quota in the local councils boards is another vital issue. The debate on elections exceeds the local councils elections to call for a presidential and legislative ones as soon as possible. On the other side of the Palestinian arena Israel still continues its excursions inside Palestinian cities, villages and refugee camps with the same killing and destruction whether in the West Bank or in the Gaza Strip. The Results Following are the results of the seventh public opinion poll conducted by the Center for Opinion Polls and Survey Studies at An-Najah National University during the period from 15-17 July, 2004. The University took full sponsorship of the whole poll. The seventh poll undertakes several subjects which focused on the Egyptian initiative, the separation wall, the local Palestinian situation, the performance of Palestinian institutions, the legislative and local councils elections, in addition to the political affiliation of Palestinian people and other issues. The sample included 1358 persons whose age group is 18 years and above and who have the right to vote. The sample forms one per thousand from among the total number of Palestinian people of this age group. The enclosed questionnaire was distributed on 859 persons from the West Bank and 499 persons from the Gaza Strip. The sample was chosen randomly and the margin of error of the sample is about ±3%. Still 2.5% of the members of the sample refused to answer the questionnaire. The Major Results:
• While 68.9% from among the respondents say that they know the details of the Egyptian initiative, 59.0% of them support it.
- 31.6% believe that it is capable of maintaining a ceasefire, • As for the evaluation of the performance of the Palestinian institutions in the current situation: - 28.0% say that they are satisfied with the performance of the Palestinian Government. • 95.1% from among respondents support a unified Palestinian leadership.
• Only 1.9% of the respondents assert that they will reelect the same members of the PLC that they elected before, and 7.6% assert that they will reelect only some of the old members. While 14.9% assert that they will not reelect any of the previous members, 49.0% assert that they will decide on whom to vote for at the Polls. Further, 22.5% assert that they will not participate in the elections. • As for the characteristics they desire to see in future candidates running for the PLC, they favor the following in a condescending order.
• In case of running for legislative elections, 17.8% choose Fateh block, 13.5% choose Hamas block, while a joint block between PLO and the Islamic movement received 12.2%. • 64.2% from among respondents support the inclusion of a statement in the elections law that guarantees a quota for women in the Legislative Council (women quota). • While 38.4% support conducting the local councils elections on stages, 38.2% support elections for local councils must be conducted simultaneously. • while 67.4% from among respondents support the right of women to run for local council positions. • 39.8% see that local councils should only offer public services, 3.4% see that local councils should play a political role, and 52.3% see that local councils should play the two roles together. • 10.8% from among respondents assert that the current circumstances are suitable for conducting general elections while 33.3% assert that the circumstances are not suitable. 36.2% from among respondents say that it is possible to disregard the present circumstances and conduct elections, 14.4% however, say that it is not possible to disregard the present circumstances and conduct elections. • 770.5% from among the respondents assert that the current Intifada influenced their economic situation negatively. • As for those who say that the Intifada influenced their economic situation negatively, they assert that they were able to cope up with their economic situations according to the following priorities.
• 39.7% from among respondents consider that the grants given to local Palestinian institutions from international institutions are used for personal gains for some of those who work in these institutions. • Only 15.8% read local newspaper daily and 21.8% do not read them at all. • 52.9% from among respondents prefer to read Al Quds newspaper, 26.6% prefer to read Al Ayyam newspaper, 11.4% prefer to read Al Hayat Al Jadeeda newspaper and 7.5% prefer to read Al Resaleh newspaper. • Al Jazeera channel takes the highest percentage of viewing among the respondents (38.2%) and Al Hurra channel takes the lowest percentage. • When asked about the effect of the Separation Wall on their lives, 60.0% from among the respondents say that it influences their lives in different forms. • As for Political affiliations they were distributed as follows: - People’s Party - 0.3
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