MIFTAH
Sunday, 21 July. 2024
 
Your Key to Palestine
The Palestinian Initiatives for The Promotoion of Global Dialogue and Democracy
 
 
 

The Israeli political leadership is weak, guilty, and desperate. Israel's President Moshe Katsav, while largely a ceremonial figure in Israeli politics, stands accused of several counts of sexual harassment and other crimes, including the selling of government pardons. Of course these alleged offenses have little to do with the political debacle that resulted from Israel's poorly conceived assault on Lebanon; they merely serve as an indication of the criminal, morally bankrupt nature of today's political leadership.

Prime Minister (PM) Olmert and his posse—Defense Minister Amir Peretz and Chief of Staff Dan Halutz, have proven themselves incapable of leading an Israeli offensive, and unable to secure the release of captured Israel soldiers. Now, in an apparent last ditch effort to save his government, PM Olmert will try, much like then-PM Barak did at Camp David in 2000, to utilize negotiations and the prospect of peace to salvage an already-wounded political career.

Last week, Deputy Prime Minister Shimon Peres announced that negotiations with President Abbas could only resume if Gil'ad Shalit is released. Following Blair's visit this weekend, the Israeli leadership adopted a change of strategy and began calling for resumed negotiations with PA President Abbas, no strings attached, to be arranged as soon as possible. PM Olmert studied unilateralism under the tutelage of Ariel Sharon, who employed this strategy to the Gaza disengagement in 2005. Now Olmert is applying unilateralism to another aspect of the "peace process": Negotiations.

This strategic move has dual benefits for the PM and his government. Most importantly, resumed negotiations and the façade of "progress" will help Olmert and his leadership to recover from their blunders in Lebanon. Somehow, the prospect of "peace talks" trumps all in the Israeli and Western media and Israeli atrocities in Lebanon somehow, suddenly, become a distant memory. Olmert will now come across in the media as a statesman, a diplomat, calling for resumed peace talks even though Israeli soldiers remain captive, and even though Hamas is still in control of the government. This political move will also take the pressure to deal with the situation in the occupied Palestinian territories, which has been looming over Olmert since he came to office, and hand it over to the Palestinians: the ball is in your court, you are responsible for any failure, but we will share in any success.

If, for any reason, resumed peace talks do not progress, the blame will easily be cast on the Palestinian leadership, just as it was following the collapse of the Camp David summit in 2000. Ehud Barak called Arafat obstinate and intransigent, even though Arafat had made it clear before the Summit that he wouldn’t—couldn't in fact, because he lacked the authority—give any concessions on the issue of Jerusalem. The summit itself was rushed, because Barak had already faced a no-confidence vote in the Knesset, and Clinton's term was about to end. Of course the warnings of the Palestinian negotiating team (that more time was needed to prepare, that more progress was needed before negotiations would be useful) fell upon deaf ears, because for Barak and Clinton, it was now or never. Unfortunately for Barak, even pinning the failure of the Summit on Arafat was not enough to save him from a landslide loss to Ariel Sharon in the proceeding special elections.

This old political tactic being put to use by the present government, is likely to succeed in the short term, because Abbas, like Olmert, needs evidence of "progress" in order to overcome political obstacles at home, and to shore up support for the fledgling, work-in-progress unity government. After Hamas won a landslide victory in January 2006, people discounted Abbas a weak, ineffective figurehead who could no longer play a meaningful role in negotiations, simply because Fateh no longer exercised complete dominance in Palestinian politics, and Hamas had legitimacy lent to it by the authority of free and democratic elections. After several months of crippling international boycotts against the Hamas-led government, the situation seemed untenable. At the beginning of September, Abbas gave his official permission—support, even—for a broad based strike against the government for non payment of wages. This strike, combined with the now-imminent prospect of a unity government in which Hamas would indirectly recognize Israel, Abbas has returned to the fore as not just a key player, but the player, for negotiations with Israel.

Given the ulterior motives of both leaders involved, the entire premise of resumed negotiations is defunct. Genuine negotiations can only emerge out of dialogue, not a unilaterally imposed peace process. In fact, resumed talks with "no preconditions" is a misnomer, because Olmert has repeatedly stated that Shalit's release is necessary before any progress can be made in peace talks. Olmert, along with Tony Blair, has articulated support for talks to be resumed on the basis of the US-sponsored road map for peace plan from 2003. Since its inception, the road map has been a dismal failure, and the details of the road map hardly apply today, given the unilateral approach to "peace" adopted by Israel in the last few years. The hypocrisy—or outright stupidity—of Olmert's position is unfathomable: How can the road map serve as an appropriate foundation for negotiations when one of the central tenets of the plan—withdrawal and a freeze on settlement expansion in the occupied Palestinian territories—are being violated by Israel on a daily basis? Only last week, Israeli authorities issued tenders for 700 new homes in two West Bank settlements. Another central part of the road map, incorporated in Phase I, is Palestinian elections. The outcome of the January 2006 elections led to a breakdown in the negotiation process, a severe economic crisis in the Palestinian territories, and increased arrests and targeted assassinations of Palestinian politicians and activists. So exactly which parts of the road map is Olmert hoping to incorporate into these resumed discussions?

The glaring truth of the matter is that negotiations will never be successful when one party is forced to negotiate from a position of extreme weakness, and when there is no hope for fair unbiased treatment from the international community. Before one can even consider the prospect of negotiations, there needs to be accountability on both sides. But what kind of accountability can the Palestinian leadership offer to Israel when one quarter of the legislature is under arrest? Closures, harassment, arrests, assassinations, violence—these are all realities of the ongoing occupation, which continues to wreak havoc on the Palestinian economy, society, and psyche; there is no incentive for Palestinians, under these circumstances, to make any compromises with Israel. Sadly, it seems that "peace talks" and "negotiations" today work toward maintaining the status quo instead of advancing forward. Olmert and Abbas will continue this process of "posturing for peace," maneuvering back and forth but accomplishing little, because they are only engaging with one another to protect themselves and their political positions. Peace, unfortunately, is secondary.

Nathan Karp is a student at Brown University concentrating in Middle East Studies. He is currently an intern for MIFTAH's Media and Information Programme. He can be contacted at mip@miftah.org

 
 
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