MIFTAH
Wednesday, 3 July. 2024
 
Your Key to Palestine
The Palestinian Initiatives for The Promotoion of Global Dialogue and Democracy
 
 
 

A flurry of high level meetings are being conducted with the aim of discerning the future of the densely populated baron strip of land, otherwise known as Gaza, should Sharon decide to release it from occupation. The vagueness of Sharon’s plan has worried Palestinians, fearful that withdrawal from Gaza comes at the price of saying goodbye to most of the West Bank, confused the Americans, who, like everyone else (including Sharon’s government), want to know the extent of the withdrawal and who would take over, and alarmed the Egyptians, who want to draw a clear distinction between political, as opposed to active, involvement.

Emerging as the negotiator of choice, Egypt’s intelligence chief, Omar Suleiman, has this week met with the Israeli Prime Minister, in a secret meeting in Sharon’s ranch in the Negev, and Palestinian President Arafat, still confined in his headquarters, to clarify the details of Sharon’s yet to be decided and voted upon unilateral disengagement plan. If nothing concrete comes out of his meetings with the two leaders, Suleiman can still pat himself on the back for being the only delegate capable of meeting Arafat without being shunned by Israel.

Suleiman did manage to persuade Qurei and Sharon to consider meeting next week, with Israeli reports suggesting that March 16 has been set for the event, while Palestinians insist a meeting is contingent on the success of preparatory meetings between the two prime ministers' bureau chiefs, Dov Weisglass and Hassan Abu Libdeh, this coming Sunday. Given that countless proposed meetings between the two prime ministers have failed to materialize, it is too soon to predict whether the event will actually take place.

Egypt, like the US, seems mainly concerned with who will assume the power vacuum that many analysts predict will result from a complete Israeli withdrawal. Egypt is encouraging Fatah to assume responsibility for security in Gaza after an Israeli pullout. Washington is adamant that it does not want to see Hamas, a stronghold in Gaza, take over control. Both countries are pressuring Israel to coordinate closely with the Palestinian National Authority any pullout plans, but Israel has remained reluctant.

Israel has asked Egypt to take a security role after the withdrawal, but President Mubarak has ruled out the deployment of Egyptian troops. Egypt fears possible friction with Israel over continued allegations of weapon smuggling, and does not cherish a role of being placed responsible for Israel’s security concerns. At best, Egypt is willing to train Palestinian security forces and provide them with advice. However, it is perhaps prudent to remain patient until after Israel’s Foreign Minister Silvan Shalom meets with Mubarak on Thursday to discuss Egypt’s role in Sharon’s impending plan.

Other than its security concerns and despite the fact it is generally warming to Sharon’s plan, the US still has “a lot of questions,” according to U.S. Secretary of State Colin Powell, that it wants clarified before giving its full endorsement, including whether Israel plans to pull out from all of Gaza, most of Gaza or some of Gaza. So, the US has again dispatched Assistant Secretary of State, William Burns, deputy director of the National Security Council, Stephen Hadley and Middle East specialist Elliot Abrams to get some answers. .

Sharon is expected to reach clear decisions about the disengagement plan before meeting with the US government officials tomorrow. According to Israeli sources, Sharon is heading to a full pullout from Gaza and a limited dismantling of illegal settlements in the West Bank, to be carried out in stages until the "maximum alternative" of withdrawal from 17 settlements has been implemented. Sharon hopes this will be enough to satisfy President Bush, warranting him an invitation to the White House and ultimately the complete backing of the US administration.

Despite the insistence by the US that Sharon’s plan remains a stepping stone towards full implementation of the ‘road map,’ for all practical purposes the latter plan appears to have been placed on hold indefinitely. When the euphoria of a freed Gaza settles, the world’s greatest illusionist, Sharon, would have managed to grab the West Bank from the Palestinians, who would be left with small divided and encircled enclaves, without the international community noticing, successfully establishing a status quo that will remain in place for years to come.

 
 
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