MIFTAH
Thursday, 4 July. 2024
 
Your Key to Palestine
The Palestinian Initiatives for The Promotoion of Global Dialogue and Democracy
 
 
 

Recent opinion polls in Israel have confirmed that right-wing Likud leader, Ariel Sharon, holds a firm 19-point lead over Ehud Barak. Thursday’s polls come only five days before Israelis head to the ballot box and elect a new head of government, for better or for worse.

Pollster Rafi Smith affirmed that, in Thursday’s survey of 673 Israelis, 46% of the vote went to Sharon, and 27% to Barak, with the remaining 27% of poll-voters not deciding or unwilling to vote. More than 50% of Israeli Arabs said they would not vote at all (Israeli Arabs, of whom 95% voted for Barak in 1999, make up 12.3% of the electorate).

The real intent of Israeli voters is in question this time. Is Sharon’s overwhelming (poll) popularity being driven by Israel’s mere assumption that ANY new leader can rectify Israel’s “shaken image” under Barak’s term in office since May 1999, even if that meant the loose-canon mentality and blood-tainted past of Ariel Sharon? Is Barak’s unfulfilled promise to reach peace with the Palestinians a valid reason for Israel’s would-be left wing voters to abandon the left?

The implications of ‘illogical voting’ will be costly to ALL.

Meanwhile, the peace process is on hold. With no tangible progress made at Taba, and with the continuation of the Intifada, little has changed on the ground. Hopes for a deal have clearly vanished, and the ‘ball is in the hands of the Israeli voter’.

One unveiled, yet possible, factor remains cautiously awaited though. Will Barak realize the dangerous implications of his unpopularity and step down, giving Shimon Perez a chance to salvage the lost faith of the Israeli left?

 
 
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