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Sunday, 7 July. 2024
 
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The nuclear talks between Iranian officials and the representatives of the so-called 5 plus one group (USA, Russia, China, England and France, plus Germany) which were held in Istanbul on April 14, seem to have gone very well, with the parties agreeing to meet again next month in Baghdad.

US officials described the talks as “a step forward” and EU foreign policy chief Catherine Ashton said they were “constructive and useful”.

Iranian Foreign Ministry’s spokesperson Ramin Mehmanparast told reporters on Wednesday, “We are optimistic about the future of negotiations and want the other sides to put their words into action.”

Observers noted a number of encouraging signs that presage a diplomatic solution to the standoff with Iran on the question of alleged intention to build nuclear weapons.

First, the chief Iranian negotiator Saeed Jalili came to the talks with a new title: Whereas in previous negotiations his title was representative of President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, this time, he came as personal representative of Iran’s supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, which gives Jalili a more authoritative voice, and the competence to enter into final and legally binding agreements. Also in case the negotiations succeed, the success will be appropriately credited to the vision and sagacity of the supreme leader.

The American press reported that the nuclear talks with Iran were infused with a sense of euphoria. This was apparently generated by the many references Iranian officials have been making about an anti-nuclear weapon fatwa (religious decree) issued by the leader of the Islamic Revolution Ali Khamenei. It forbade the production, proliferation and use of nuclear bombs, to stave off the many external threats and plots against Iran. Recently, at the conference on Disarmament in Geneva, Iran called for negotiations to agree on a treaty banning nuclear weapons and condemned the production of nuclear weapons as “a great sin.”

This naturally makes it possible for the Iranians to claim, in case of a diplomatic resolution of the conflict, that they did not give in to pressure from the West, but that they were acting all along in conformity with Iran’s best national interests.

The most telling sign of a pending agreement, however, came in the form of a statement in which the Iranian Foreign Minister Ali Akbar Salehi said he could accept a deal that halted uranium enrichment but left enough nuclear fuel for medical isotopes.

The positive feelings the Iran nuclear talks generated were matched by negative assessment from the chief promoter of war — Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu of Israel who accused the group of 5+1 of giving Iran a ‘freebie’. The Iranians, Netanyahu claimed, will thus be able to continue pursuing their nuclear programme without limitations until the next round of talks scheduled for May 23 in Baghdad.

What is remarkable about this, is not the negative reaction of the Israeli prime minister, but rather the extent to which Washington sought to justify its course of action and its negotiating position. It is as if Washington and the other world powers were negotiating with Iran on behalf of Israel.

Washington insisted that no sanctions would be lifted in the absence of concrete steps on the part of Iran. Obama himself responded to Netanyahu’s criticisms: “We haven’t given away anything,” he said.

US officials insisted that Netanyahu was fully briefed both before and after the Istanbul meeting on the strategy of the six world powers.

An Obama administration official told the Israeli newspaper Haaretz that prior to the meeting with the Iranians detailed discussions were held with Israeli officials. Furthermore, Wendy Sherman, the head of the American delegation to the talks, contacted Israel’s ambassador to Washington, Michael Oren, only a few hours after the Istanbul talks were adjourned and gave him a full briefing.

French and German diplomats also reportedly confirmed that officials from French President Nicolas Sarkozy’s office, and from German Chancellor Angela Merkel’s office, also briefed Netanyahu’s aides both before and after the talks with the Iranians.

Missile defence system

But neither briefing nor coordination of strategies and objectives with the Israelis seemed sufficient to satisfy Netanyahu. That is because his primary objective differs substantially from that pursued by the six powers negotiating with Iran.

The terms of reference for negotiations have been clearly defined and agreed to: (1) the Non-Proliferation Treaty is the basic document for negotiations and agreement. (2) Iran must agree to fulfil all of its international obligations under the Treaty; and (3) the negotiation process will be a gradual step-by-step process that will include the principle of reciprocity.

Israel is not a member of the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty and has steadily refused to allow its nuclear facilities to be inspected by the UN Atomic Energy Agency, or anyone else. Israel therefore cannot demand of Iran what it refuses to do.

It is likely that Netanyahu considers that war against Iran would be the better alternative in the long run. He has already secured American financial and technical support to reinforce the newly introduced missile defence system called Iron Dome, which according to the Israeli press, has had a 90 per cent interception success against rockets launched from Gaza.

The Pentagon has authorised the delivery to Israel of bunker-busting bombs and other sophisticated weapon systems to strengthen its capacity to launch an attack against Iran. This may have been the price Obama had to pay to calm down the belligerent instincts of the Israeli prime minister and get him to postpone any military action against Iran until after the American election in November.

This presents two major advantages for the Obama administration: Give Obama a chance to contest and win the election without the incalculable damage and distraction another war would create during an election year. Secondly, more time without war means a greater chance to achieve a diplomatic resolution of this conflict. Even if this is not the best outcome for Netanyahu, it certainly is for Iran, for the Obama administration, and for the international community.

 
 
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