A public opinion Survey prepared by Dr. Nabil Kukali and conducted
Poll No.123 Date: 08 October 2004
Majd Kokaly-information department: A poll was conducted by the PCPO and prepared by President Dr. Nabil Kukali included a random sample of (557) Palestinian adults, 18 years and older, from the West bank including East Jerusalem. The sampling error for a sample of this size is about (±4.15%) in each direction. The poll has revealed that (52.2%) has already entered the register of electors, and (72.2%) agree to the time extension of the registration. Furthermore (41.5%) believe that Fatah will score excellent results in the elections and (44.9%) would vote for President Arafat in case of his candidacy. (15.6%) believe that Marwan Barghouthi is the strongest candidate in competing with President Yassir Arafat. President of the PCPO, Dr. Nabil Kukali, stated that the poll took place from September 29, 2004 to October 03, 2004 and the average age of the respondents was 33.5 years. Kukali also stated that the percentage of female respondents was (47.5%), while that of the male ones was (52.5%) .He also explained that the respondents’ location of residence was as follows: (46.4%) city, (39.1%) village, (14.2%) refugees camp. He pointed out that the average size of the respondents’ families was (7.3) persons, and the average number of schooling years was 12.1 years. Dr. Nabil Kukali said the results of the poll were as follows: 1. Are you with or against a time extension for entering the register of electors giving thereby people more chance to participate in the next elections?
2. If elections were being held today, which political party would you vote for?
3. Are you going to participate in the next legislative elections?
4. Do you believe that elections in various political institutions will or not achieve reformation in the PA’s institutions?
5. Are you going, or not going to boycott the elections if the opposition calls for that?
6. Would you vote or not vote for President Arafat if he puts up for the elections?
7. Some people in the west bank and Gaza strip support holding legislative elections in the Palestinian territories soon, while the others support their postponement to a later stage., which is closer to your opinion?
8. Are you in favor of holding legislative elections before or after the local / village elections?
9. Does your objection to the conduction of municipal / local or legislative elections at present attributes to: (This question should be addressed to those participants, who don’t support the conduction of elections)
10. If elections were being held in the next few months, do you believe they would or not be impartial?
11. If PLC elections were being held today, would you vote or not vote for your current constituency representatives?
12. Given the choice, do you prefer a man or a woman to represent you in the various political institutions, or it would make no difference?
13. Have you already entered the register of electors as to participate in the next elections?
14. Some people in the territories of the Palestinian authority believe that FATEH movement will score excellent results in the elections, whereas others believe that the Islamic resistance movement HAMAS will score the excellent results in the elections. Which is closer to your opinion?
15. In the PLC and PA’s presidency elections that were held in January 1996, the late nationalist “Samiha Khalil” was the only rival to Mr. Arafat for presidency. If election were being held today for the PA’s presidency, for whom would you vote ?(open question) .
16. Some people in the West Bank and Gaza strip support suicidal attacks in Israel, while others support a halt to such attacks now. Which is closer to your opinion?
17. Do you strongly support, somewhat support, somewhat oppose, or strongly oppose the notion that says that the political process (i.e. peace process) is the best thing we can get under current conditions (i.e. international changes):
18. Location of residence:
19. Religion:
20. Practice of religion:
21. The most decisive factor in your voting for a certain candidate in the next Palestinian political elections will be:
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