1. Disillusionment with the peace process, but commitment to peace continues. In spite of their disillusionment with the peace process that started after the Oslo Accord, the majority of Palestinians still believe that negotiations are the best method to end the occupation. They, however, do not believe that the terms of the exiting process are satisfactory. The results of the AWRAD poll reveal that a majority disagree with the peace process as they have experienced it.
These views reflect the reality on the ground, but also the lack of trust in the parties involved.
The credibility of the American government as a mediator is questioned.
In addition, the credibility of actions of the Israeli government is questioned by the Palestinians.
These views did not prevent the majority of Palestinians to believe that negotiations continue to be the best approach.
2. The dismantlement of the PA is not a popular choice The majority of Palestinians oppose any scenario that involves the dismantlement of the PA.
3. A majority would like to see Hamas concede power to the PA It is interesting to find a majority of Palestinians would like to see a Hamas concession of power to the PA.
This preferable evaluation of the PA is illustrated in many other questions especially when evaluating the performance of the Fayyad and the Haniyeh governments.
These evaluations are related to an overall assessment of various aspects on living conditions.
It is also interesting to find that a vast majority of Palestinians would like to see a continuation of PA support to Gaza.
4. Shared responsibility for lack of reconciliation; Hamas is more blamed A majority believes that both factions (Hamas and Fateh) are to blame for delaying the elections and for stalling the reconciliation agreement. However, more respondents feel that Hamas is more to blame than Fateh.
5. While majority supports a continuation of an Abbas presidency, a majority oppose an appointment of Duwaik Indicators show that elections will not take place in their due date (January 24, 2010). Under this scenario a constitutional vacuum will take place.
6. Haniyeh, Fayyad, Mustafa Barghouti and Dahlan are most popular in case Abbas and Marwan decide not to run If Abbas and Marwan Barghouti decided not run for a presidential election, the space will be open for a number of potential leaders. This data, however, must be viewed carefully as other candidates might also become popular if they decided to run or if their factions declare their support for them.
7. Fateh leads the pack and Hamas is competitive The results of the election for the PLC will depend on how conditions evolve by the time of the elections. Today, however, we could make the following predictions.
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