The following are highlights from AWRAD’s most recent national poll in the West Bank and Gaza Strip, conducted 10-12 July 2016, sample size 1,200. For the full results, please refer to www.awrad.org.
Stagnation: A simple majority (a higher rate in the West Bank) reports that security has
diminished. Economically, a plurality in the West Bank states that their family’s situation
has remained the same as a year ago, while a majority in Gaza states that their situation
has deteriorated. Correspondingly, a majority of Palestinians believes that Palestine is
currently heading in the wrong direction. Overall, the data reflects stagnancy in popular
sentiments. Compared with national surveys from the previous two years, a growing
number of respondents, and in some instances a majority, believes that things are not
changing; neither improving nor worsening. Nevertheless, a simple majority of
respondents remains optimistic about the future.
Internal Violence & Crime: There has been a notable spike in internal violence and
crime in recent months that has negatively impacted the lives of average Palestinians.
West Bank respondents attribute events to moral and social decay within Palestinian
society, followed by an inability of PA security forces to enforce the rule of law,
combined with weak economic growth and declining social services. Gaza respondents,
however, identify frustration with economic and social circumstances as the primary
Weapon Possession & Enforcement: Palestinians, particularly in the West Bank, are
split in their evaluation of the security agencies’ response to recent events with an
overwhelming majority in both the West Bank and Gaza of the belief that the PA and its
security agencies should impose harsher measures to deal with private weapon
Local Elections: Half of all respondents are aware that the PA has declared that local
elections will be conducted in the West Bank on October 8, 2016. A simple majority
plans to vote, with the remainder undecided or planning not to vote.
West Bank & Local Elections: If Hamas - which now says that it will participate - does
not run in the local elections, a third of West Bank respondents state that they will not
Gaza & Local Elections: A majority of Gaza respondents support the conduct of local
elections in Gaza, simultaneous with those in the West Bank. If local elections are not
conducted in Gaza on October 8, a simple majority of Gazans says they would hold
Political Parties & Local Elections: A simple majority of West Bank respondents say
they are uncertain who they will vote for or that they will not vote in scheduled October
local elections. In Gaza, the number of undecided is only half that of the West Bank.
Among those who intend to vote, a Fatah list is currently the most popular, followed by a
Support for Presidential & Parliamentary Elections: A majority of Palestinians
continue to support the immediate conduct of presidential and legislative elections.
Political Leadership: With President Abbas indicating his intent to retire, Marwan is the
preferred presidential candidate in a presidential contest. Ismail Haniyeh is the second
most popular choice, followed by Mohammad Dahlan, who derives his support almost
exclusively from Gaza.
Fatah Leaders: Among Fatah leaders, Marwan Barghouti remains the first choice of
respondents followed by Dahlan, Saeb Eraikat, Majed Faraj Jibril Rajoub and Naser al
Hamas Leaders: Ismael Haniyeh currently tops Khaled Mesha’al as the preferred choice
amongst Hamas figures in a presidential contest.
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